Busman's Holiday

My idea of a vacation is, of course, to blog.

TPM Cafe  asked TPM contributors to write

about  the convention and the  future

of the Democratic Party.

You can find the post here http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/08/28/the_future_of_the_democratic_p_1/

Poverty, Health and Political Priorities: 2000 to 2007

Yesterday, the Census Bureau came out with a report that provides a compelling window on poverty and health in America.

It’s somewhat modestly titled “Income, Poverty and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States, 2007.” I would suggest it deserves a headline that does justice to its sweep, perhaps “Connecting the Dots: Health and Poverty, America’s Shifting Priorities, 1960-2007.

Begin with this chart:

At first glance, what is most striking is how well President Lyndon B. Johnson’s “War on Poverty” worked in the late 1960s.  Seniors--who were then the poorest group in the U.S-- benefited most. The share of Americans over 65 scraping along somewhere below the poverty line plummeted from roughly 30 percent in 1965 to just over 15 percent in the early 1970s. Johnson made Medicare and Medicaid legislation a priority, and when it passed Congress in 1965, it made an enormous difference.

The War on Poverty also helped kids: the share of the nation’s children trapped in poor households fell from roughly 23 percent in 1965 to 15 percent during the Carter years.

By contrast, look at what has happened during the latest economic cycle.  As the Economic Policy Institute’s Jared Bernstein points out,  “Despite strong overall economic growth, the cycle that began in 2000 and ended late last year has turned out to be “one of the weakest on record for working families.”

Health Beat on Vacation

Health Beat will be on vacation until Tuesday, Sept. 2

Enjoy the holiday!

Universal Coverage Is No Silver Bullet

The Massachusetts experiment in health care reform is all about expanding access.  But it doesn’t try to control costs.  This, in a nutshell, is why it’s running into trouble.

The plan didn’t reform health care delivery, just coverage. Granted, in terms of bringing more people in under the tent, it’s been a success: Since the plan went into effect in 2006, 439,000 people have signed up for insurance—a number that represents more than two-thirds of the estimated 600,000 people uninsured in the state two years ago. This surge in coverage has reduced use of emergency rooms for routine care by 37 percent, which has saved the state about $68 million. (Going to the ER for routine care drives up health care costs by creating longer wait times and tying up resources that can be used to help patients who are critically ill).

But even with these savings, Massachusetts is having trouble funding its plan. Earlier this month the Boston Globe reported that the governor’s office is planning to shift more responsibility for funding to employers. Currently, the Mass. Health care law requires most employers with more than 10 full-time employees to offer health coverage or to pay an annual ‘fair share’ penalty of $295 per worker:  this is called ‘pay or play’, an employer either provides coverage or pays a fee toward the system for not doing so).

To “play” rather than “pay,” employers must show either that they are paying at least 33 percent of their full-time workers' premiums within the first 90 days of employment, Or that they are making sure that at least 25 percent of their full-time workers are covered on the company’s plan. (In other words, they must be paying a large enough share of the premiums so that 25 percent of their employees can afford the plan they offer.)   

Expecting Perfection from Medicine: A Doctor’s Perspective

Recently BuckEye Surgeon offered a compelling window on what it is like to be a surgeon (or, for that matter, any type of physician), and realize that patients think that you are practicing pure science.

First, he admitted that he had been reading Cicero, (yes, that Cicero—the late, great Roman orator and statesman), and had come across a quotation that “grabbed him”:

"For the better he is at his job, the more frightened he feels about the difficulty... about its uncertain fate... about what the audience expects of him."

“Cicero was talking about the stresses that afflict a great orator; the pressure to reproduce the excellence of past speeches,” Buckeye explains. “The audience has come to listen and expectations are high and even one minor insignificant error can ruin the overall impression of an otherwise articulate, inspiring speech.

“In many ways, this is what we've come to in medicine. The expectations are almost insurmountable. Infallibility is the performance standard. The delivery of healthcare has been relegated to the category of ‘commodity, like automobiles and hair care products and soybeans. Where's my warranty, my guarantee? Why did I get an infection? Why didn't you realize I had breast cancer when it was 0.5mm instead of 2mm? Did you wash your hands well enough before you came into my room?

An Update on Gardasil: Marketing Trumps Science…Billions Spent; Risks Remain Unknown

I first wrote about Gardasil on The American Prospect online in the summer of 2006, just weeks before the Merck vaccine designed to protect against cervical cancer went to market.

There, I noted that “the hullabaloo began in June when the FDA approved Gardasil, a vaccine widely described as ‘100 percent effective’ in preventing cervical cancer, a disease that kills some 233,000 women worldwide each year. The drumbeat grew louder last month when a federal panel recommended that all American girls and women ages 11 to 26 should be inoculated. And now there is talk that states may mandate the vaccine for all school-age children.

“But before prescribing for the entire population,” I suggested, “it's worth asking a few questions: Why does the vaccine cost $360 for a three-shot regimen? How much do we know about the new product? And is this a cost-effective use of health-care dollars?”

I reported what we knew at the time:  Although Gardasil was commonly described as “100 percent effective” if you scrolled down far enough in most news stories, you would find that the vaccine is “100 percent effective” against  “only two strains of HPV (human papillomavirus) that causes cervical cancer. And those two account for just 70 percent of all cases. The vaccine has no effect on the viral strains which account for the other 30 percent.”

Read a little further and you would discover that because the vaccine protects against less than three-quarters of all cases, inoculated patients still will need regular Pap smear tests to check for signs of the disease.

Health Care Reform, Interest Groups and “the Collective Good”

What this country needs is more lobbyists, representing more interests groups.  This is what Nicholas Lemann, Dean of the Columbia School of Journalism, all but declares in a contrarian piece published in a recent New Yorker. Basing his argument on The Process of Government: A Study of Social Pressure, a classic written by Arthur Fisher Bentley in 1908, Lemann declares that in the end, politics is all “about interest groups struggling against other groups and finally making deals, through politicians and agencies and courts.”  And this, he implies, is the way it should be.

Under Bentley’s rules there is no such thing as “the public,” Lemann explains. “There are only groups.” And “the public interest” is a “useless concept,” because there is “nothing which is best literally for the whole people.”  Bentley dismisses any idea of what I might call “the public good.”  We live in a society divided against itself, in groups with very discreet, often warring interests.  So much for making common cause for the common good.

As I read Lemann’s piece, I could not help but wonder:  what does this mean for national healthcare reform?  And I realized that there are some reformers who endorse something uncomfortably close to the process that Lemann describes.

Like Lemann, they believe that reform can be accomplished only by letting the interest groups duke it out. Big Pharma, the device-makers, hospitals and insurers all should take their rightful places at the negotiating table (after all, they paid our legislators for those seats), alongside primary care docs and RNs, surgeons and radiologists, hospital workers and  hospital administrators,  each group defending its  turf. Then there’s the AARP, the AMA and the AHA, the libertarians who oppose mandates, the progressives who want mandates…But wait, didn’t I leave someone out?

Oh, right, the patients.  When elephants fight, says a Swahili proverb, the grass suffers.

The Toll of War

This post was written by Niko Karvounis and Maggie Mahar

It’s no secret that the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have stretched the military thin. Indeed, the past few years have seen a steady flow of news stories depicting just how desperate our armed forces are for warm bodies—including reports that the military is “at its breaking point” and has considered non-citizens for service; that states are seeing their largest mobilization of reservists since World War II; and that the army has abandoned the 24-month limit on time that reservists must serve.

Meanwhile, in November, Stars and Stripes reported that the Pentagon was quietly looking for ways to make it easier for people with “minor” criminal records to join the military. In 2007, the share of Army recruits needing waivers for infractions that included stealing, carrying weapons on schools grounds, and fighting rose to 18 percent –up from 15 percent a year earlier.

There’s no shortage of political objections one can level against the military’s never-ending need for manpower, but there are also some profoundly personal issues to consider when reflecting on just how dangerous it is for our military to deploy—and redeploy—so many soldiers. More than 100,000 American veterans have been sent back to Afghanistan and Iraq despite finishing the terms of their enlistment. Imagine what it means to think that you have fulfilled  your duty—and then to find yourself on the way back to hell.

Imagine being told that you will have a year at home before going back to Iraq—and then being ordered back, as the 4th Infantry Division from Fort Hood, Texas  was after a break of only seven months. “It just plays with your head," says one soldier. “The people in Washington think that this is a board game."

Keeping it Simple in the Developing World

Did you know that three-quarters of the 40 million sightless people in the world don’t have to be blind? According to ORBIS International, a global nonprofit organization, most of the world’s blind population owes its lack of sight to a lack of access to care.

ORBIS’ mission is to eliminate avoidable blindness by "strengthening the capacity of local eye health partners in their efforts to prevent and treat blindness." Through a process that ORBIS calls capacity building, local partners gain "self-sufficiency in eye health care and residents enjoy quality eye health services that are affordable, accessible and sustainable."

As part of ORBIS’s broad-based capacity building program, the organization works with carefully selected local partners on projects typically lasting at least three years. ORBIS has about 100 of these active partners, which include hospitals, health centers, universities and training centers, local non-governmental organizations (NGOs), eye banks and government health departments.

Today We Pay For How Much It Costs a Physician to Provide a Service; Why Not Also Consider How Much Value the Patient Receives?

When Medicare first created a fee schedule, critics suggested that it was a Marxist invention. Nevertheless, the schedule, which lists what Medicare is willing to pay for some 7,000 procedures, has become the master list for physician reimbursement in our health care system:  most private insurers peg their payments to the Medicare schedule.

The notion of deciding the precise worth of some 7,000 diagnostic and therapeutic procedures is mind-boggling. How exactly does Medicare do it?

The process began in the late 1980s when officials at the Department of Health and Human Services decided that the way Medicare paid doctors should be overhauled. At the time, Medicare was reimbursing physicians  based on what was considered “customary, prevailing and reasonable” in a particular market —in other words the “market value” of the service in that region.

Instead, reformers urged Congress to begin paying doctors in a way that reflected the real cost, to the doctor, of providing the service. (This is where Marx comes in: rather than letting the local market decide what a service is worth “the system appears to be based on the Marxist ‘labor theory of value,’” sputtered Susan Mandel in a 1990 piece in the National Review.) 

But to many in Congress, the notion that physicians should be reimbursed for what it costs them to do what they do—plus a reasonable profit—seemed on the face of it, a sound proposal. The problem, of course, lies in determining what the true “cost” to the physician is.